April 1:
NY Revised numbers.
March 31:
Revised my New York forecast so we can track the shape better. Doesn’t look good in NY, except that they are peaking now.
March 30:
Just added data.
This is very encouraging.
March 28:
Just added data.
Note the leveling off of cases… possibly a good sign for New York! (I remain suspicious of “cases” numbers…)
But I don’t like the uptick in deaths. Saw one just like it Pennsylvania today.
March 27:
When I adjust the Quick Look NY model to fit the deaths curve.
March 26:
Just added data. Nailed it. NY is tracking.
March 25:
Just updated with today’s data. Tracking the model well.
Added a smoothed curve as well. Is it turning early? I hope so.
March 24:
Just added data. Changed nothing. Looks like we are overshooting a little bit. Not surprising since we updated it after a massive jump in testing.
