April 1:
Numbers are small, but ominous. Praying
March 31:
March 30:
Just added data.
Check the scale… these are really low numbers, so the data are noisy.
March 29:
Just added data.
With numbers this small, I’d say we were tracking well within the noise. There are ways to calculate this… but that discussion is for another time.
March 28:
Just added data.
Numbers very low, so noisy.
Cleary, these people don’t know how to party
March 27:
Added new data.
I increased the death rate to 1% from 1/2% because their number of deaths increased from 2 to 4. With numbers this small, not a big deal.
Keep it up Minnesota!
March 26:
Just added data. I’m afraid to celebrate, I might jinx them. they may be first over the hump.
March 25:
Looks like a testing anomaly threw us off at the start, precisely when it matters most to the forecast. First graph, just the new data. 2nd graph revised.
