April 1:
Tracking! 😊
March 31:
Kentucky running under my initial forcast. Keep it up.
March 30:
Just added data.
March 29:
Just added data.
Looks like this one is running hot. GLAD to be wrong. We’ll tune it down later. For now, we can still track.
March 28:
Just added data. New format.
Looks like I overshot on this one. Good! For now, let’s leave ‘er be.
March 27:
Just added data. Tracking.
OVERestimating deaths now, so either we have some coming, or I’m adjusting the death rate down. For now, leave it alone.
March 26:
Just added data.
March 25:
Just added data. Model is tracking.
March 24:
Kentucky just announced that it had double-counted some cases, and revised their numbers down a tad. Rather than updating the earlier graph, I will leave it in place. However, I took the opportunity to apply my new algorithm to the Kentucky data, and to refine a new prediction. Thank you, Kentucky. It was awful nice of you to adjust your numbers to fit my prediction.Â
