Just added data.
This model is looking too hot.
Just added data. Might be running a tad hot.
With so little data at first, the first forecast was merely a shot in the dark, but included for reporting and completeness. This is really the first chance I’ve had to really make a projection. This peak is one of the sharpest I’ve seen, suggesting a single, focused infection. Hopefully they have it under control.
Gotta love those potatoes. And gotta love this graph. First look at Idaho, with typical assumptions. Be safe, Idaho. When all this is over, we all need to patronize our businesses. They are going to need help getting back on their feet.